As we continue to collect data and refine the model, next up is the British GP. No shocker the data suggests Hamilton comes out on top. Our statistically insignificant gut check agrees with that give Hamilton's strength here. However, that does rely on which version of Ferrari Strategy we get for this race, Barcelona or Austria.

Our F1 Strategy predictor has this being a battle of who can trigger an undercut first. With the assumption being starting on a medium tire that could go as much as 28 laps. I don't know if I agree with that or if it's even likely, I suspect pit stops will start occurring 10-15 laps in.

Kimi, George, and Max filling out the top four seems like even odds with the recent pace. Again the model has Pierre Gasly coming into some major points and out performing McLaren. This seems the most unlikely scenario, and I suspect Hadjar and Pierre may swap places like Austria.

I want to argue with the model around Charles Leclerc, but I wanted to do that last week and it predicted Leclerc correctly, so maybe I will keep my mouth shut and hope he out performs.

Sadly, Cadillac doesn't even seem to be mixing it up with Aston Martin in this model as "brakes on fire" DNFs are pretty clearly eating into their ability to finish a race. Much like Ferrari, the host of upgrades they brought to Austria proved to disappointing considering repeat brake duct issues apparently not being one of them. I'm not sure if they can bring a duct upgrade to Silverstone, but one can hope.

Good money is still on Merc to win the Manufacturers championship, as well as Kimi to win the drivers. Hey Kimi - let's keep it on the track this time. Literally nobody wants George Russel to win.

Verstappen has 2 % chance of winning the drivers championship, and honestly, if anyone can go from those odds to drivers champion, it'd be Max.